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Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.State Power Investment Corporation set up an economic and technological research and consulting company with AI software development business. According to the enterprise search APP, recently, State Power Investment Corporation Economic and Technological Research and Consulting Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of He Yongjian and the registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: artificial intelligence application software development; Information system integration service; Industrial Internet data service; Social and economic consulting services, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by State Power Investment Group Co., Ltd.Huayi Brothers Dianji Animation Film Co., Ltd. is operating abnormally. Tianyancha App shows that recently, Huayi Brothers Dianji Animation Film Co., Ltd. was listed in the list of abnormal operations by Shanghai Xuhui District Market Supervision Administration because it could not be contacted through the registered residence or business premises. Huayi Brothers Touching Animation Film Co., Ltd. was established in March 2016. Its legal representative is Wang Zhonglei, with a registered capital of 200 million yuan. Its business scope includes film distribution, film screening, film production, production of audio-visual products and electronic publications, etc. It is wholly owned by Huayi Brothers.

Trader: The Indian central bank may support Indian Rupee by selling dollars through state-owned banks."Black Myth: Wukong" won the TGA2024 Player's Voice Award.The strength of the policy is in line with expectations. The New Year's market may have started, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) can be used as a key layout. On December 13th, as of midday, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) fell by 2%, with a turnover of 115 million yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Yangtze Power leads the rise; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. In the news, from December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing, which made a systematic plan for next year's economic work. Regarding the highlights of the meeting, CITIC Jiantou said that the meeting of the Central Economic Work Conference continued the main tone of the Politburo meeting on Monday, and made systematic arrangements for economic work next year. Next year's policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the policy strength and direction are in line with our expectations. With the support of policy expectation and liquidity, the current new year's market has been launched, and it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of shock upward. Focus on industries: non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain, etc. Topics of concern: duality and innovation, supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.

South Korea's KOSPI index erased all the declines since the martial law storm.Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.Ralph Lauren's trademark infringement case was a foregone conclusion at the end of 8 years, and the infringer paid a maximum of 20 million yuan. Ralph Lauren's trademark infringement dispute case, which lasted for nearly 8 years, finally came to a foregone conclusion. Shanghai Intellectual Property Court recently made a first-instance civil judgment on a series of trademark infringement cases in which Polo/Lauren Co., Ltd., Ralph Lauren Asia Pacific Co., Ltd. and Ralph Lauren Trading (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. jointly sued Shanghai Ruifa Clothing Co., Ltd., Qingyuan Huahao Zhibai Leather Clothing Products Co., Ltd., Guangzhou Huahao Industry Co., Ltd. and luoding city Yasi Clothing Co., Ltd. The court ruled that the defendant's use of "Polo", "Polo Sport", "Polo Gear" and "polo sport" constituted trademark infringement, and must immediately stop all infringement activities, including the use of similar trademarks and the sale of goods with similar trademarks, and pay a total of 20 million yuan in compensation. Compared with the previous administrative judgment that the infringing trademark is invalid, the significance of this civil judgment is that it has mandatory force to require the shops and other channels suspected of infringement to stop operating, and the total compensation of 20 million yuan is far higher than the legal compensation amount of 5 million yuan stipulated in the trademark law, which is one of the cases that have obtained the highest compensation in China's trademark infringement cases. (Interface News)